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一带一路风险增多：构建大经济圈应对
内容简介
随着“一带一路”六大经济走廊建设的推进和深入，沿线国家所存在的政治风险、投资风险、恐怖主义威胁以及地缘政治风险也越来越多地暴露出来，中亚和南亚成为困难最为集中的地区。本报告在系统分析中亚、南亚地缘政治热点基础上，提出了构建“大中亚经济圈”、“印度洋经济圈”和“孟加拉湾经济圈”的建议。
章节目录
封面
书名页
版权页
Preface
目录
General Introduction：China and the Indian Ocean in the Context of the“One Belt，One Road”Initiative
I. Major Economic Corridors in the Indian Ocean Region that China is Involved in
II. Major Risks and Challenges Facing China in the Development of the Four Economic Corridors
III. Structure of the Report
Chapter I China-Pakistan Economic Corridor：An Arduous Road Leading to the Indian Ocean
I. Security Environment in Pakistan
1. Pakistan will continue to pay a heavy price for the action against the Pakistani Taliban for a long term
2. Balochistan’s security environment is not optimistic
3. The Islamic State is worsening the security situation in Pakistan
II. Progress in CPEC and Major Challenges
1. Progress in Gwadar Port and major challenges
2. Progress in the network of roads and China-Pakistan railways and challenges
3. Progress in electric power projects and major risks
4. Pakistan lacks favorable conditions for industrial and capacity cooperation
III. Conclusion and Recommendations
Chapter II Kenya-Uganda Economic Corridor：Africa’s Gateway to the Indian Ocean
I. China’s Strategic Goals Concerning the Kenya-Uganda Economic Corridor
1. Aligning OBOR with development strategies of Kenya and Uganda and helping them boost economic growth
2. Contributing to the Kenya-Uganda traffic corridor
3. Strengthening cooperation in energy，power and related fields
4. Fostering industrialization and manufacturing upgrading in this region
II. Major Risks Facing China in KUEC
1. Political instability in Kenya and Uganda
2. Strong influence of the United States and Britain on Kenya and Uganda
3. Increased competition from Japan in Kenya
4. Impact of political turmoil in neighboring countries such as Somalia and South Sudan
III. Conclusion and Recommendations
Chapter III Ethiopia-Djibouti Economic Corridor：A Linchpin in Eurasia and Africa
I. China’s Strategic Goals Concerning EDEC
1. Boosting industrial and capacity cooperation
2. Setting up naval logistics facilities in Djibouti
3. Increasing China’s influence in Africa
II. Challenges Faced by China in EDEC
1. The EDEC industrial belt is far from taking shape
2. Ethnic tensions in Ethiopia may affect political stability
3. Unstable factors in neighboring countries
4. Influence of Western countries over this region
III. Conclusion and Recommendations
Chapter IV Tanzania - Rwanda Corridor：A Route Connecting the Great Lakes Region of Africa to the Indian Ocean
I. Analysis of Political Scene in Tanzania with a Focus on President John Magufuli’s Election and Administration
1. Magufuli’s achievements and challenges
2. The CCM Party has increased its long-term governance capacity through elections
II. The Tanzanian Government Will Give More Attention to the Development of the Northwest Region
1. Relocation of Tanzania’s capital to Dodoma will become a driving force behind the development of the country’s western areas
2. The Tanzanian government has started constructing the Central Line
III. The Competitive Advantage of Rwanda will Gradually Emerge
1. President Paul Kagame has maintained political stability for a long time
2. Rwanda has developed a national strategy to prevent and fight corruption
3. Rwanda’s economy has unique advantages
IV. China’s Strategic Objectives Concerning TREC and Challenges Faced by It
1. China should enhance its political and diplomatic ties with Tanzania and Rwanda
2. China should promote the formation and development of the Tanzania-Rwanda Economic Corridor
3. China should cooperate with the two countries to prevent the political turmoil in Burundi and DR Congo from affecting regional development
Chapter V Building an Indian Ocean Economic Circle with the Four Corridors as Its Pillars
I. Promote Trade Creation and Optimize Trade Structure
II. Boost Industrial and Capacity Cooperation and Promote Cross-border Investment
III. Strengthen Joint Anti-Terrorism Mechanism and Tackle Humanitarian Crises
IV. Set up Cooperation Platform and Mechanism to Promote the Formation of the Indian Ocean Economic Circle
V. Promote the Ability of this Four Strategic Economic Corridors to Cooperate with Saudi Arabia，Kuwait，the United Arab Emirates，Qatar and other GCC countries
References
“一带一路”视野下中国在印度洋四大经济走廊的发展是2017年由中国社会科学出版社出版,作者杨玉鑫。
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